A preview of the eight Week 0 college football games, ranking each on an upset watch scale. The analysis considers roster continuity, injuries, and situational factors.
TCU is favored by 8.5 points against North Carolina, earning a 4 on the upset watch scale. Both teams have new starting quarterbacks – Jaden Craig for TCU and Billy Edwards Jr. for North Carolina. TCU previously defeated North Carolina 48-14. Analysts predict a 28-13 TCU victory. Picks are TCU to win straight up (SU), TCU to cover the spread (-8.5 ATS), and the game total to be under 46.5.
USC is a significant 38.5-point favorite against San Jose State, receiving a 1 on the upset watch scale. USC returns quarterback Jayden Maiava and an experienced offensive line, despite center Kilian O'Connor being out for the season with a knee injury. San Jose State, under third-year coach Ken Niumatalolo, is rebuilding after a 3-9 season. USC previously beat San Jose State 56-28. The predicted score is 49-7, with picks for USC SU, San Jose State +38.5 ATS, and the game going under 61.5.
NC State is a 4-point favorite over Virginia, with an upset watch score of 7. NC State has won four straight against Virginia and hasn't lost in Charlottesville since 1996. Virginia has 16 players listed as out, including receiver Rico Flores, and linebacker Kam Robinson is questionable. NC State lists roughly half as many players out. Quarterback CJ Bailey gives NC State the more experienced starter. The predicted score is 27-20, with picks for NC State SU, NC State +4 ATS, and the game going under 51.5.
Jacksonville State is a 7-point underdog against North Dakota State, earning a 6 on the upset watch scale. The game is considered one of the more evenly matched on the Week 0 slate.
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